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The Review of Corporate Finance Studies Vol. 14 No. 4 2025

Corporate Hiring under Uncertainty

Duc Duy Nguyen1; Vathunyoo Sila2

1 Durham University · 2 University of Edinburgh

open access

Abstract

Using granular data on job postings and employee flows, we examine how firms adjust human capital investments during periods of uncertainty brought on by gubernatorial elections. We find that firms reduce job postings in the 6 months leading up to an election, particularly advertisements for more costly to reverse positions (highly skilled, less flexible, or unionized). We also explore the sources of election uncertainty and find stronger effects in elections where public interests more heavily focus on labor issues. Our results are consistent with the real options framework, where firms adopt a “wait and see” approach in response to uncertainty.

DOI
10.1093/rcfs/cfaf008
Volume
14
Issue
4
Pages
949-988
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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