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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 90 No. 5 2023

Unemployment Insurance in Macroeconomic Stabilization

Rohan Kekre

Chicago Booth and NBER

Abstract

I study unemployment insurance (UI) in general equilibrium with incomplete markets, search frictions, and nominal rigidities. An increase in generosity raises the aggregate demand for consumption if the unemployed have a higher marginal propensity to consume than the employed or if agents precautionary save in light of future income risk. This raises output and employment unless monetary policy raises the nominal interest rate. In an analysis of the U.S. economy over 2008–2014, UI benefit extensions had a contemporaneous output multiplier around 1. The unemployment rate would have been as much as 0.4 pp higher absent these extensions.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdac080
Volume
90
Issue
5
Pages
2439-2480
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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