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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 89 No. 1 2022

Should Robots Be Taxed?

Joao Guerreiro1; Sergio Rebelo2; Pedro Teles3

1 Northwestern University · 2 Northwestern University, NBER, and CEPR · 3 Banco de Portugal, Catolica-Lisbon School of Business & Economics, and CEPR

open access

Abstract

Using a quantitative model that features technical progress in automation and endogenous skill choice, we show that, given the current U.S. tax system, a sustained fall in automation costs can lead to a massive rise in income inequality. We characterize the optimal tax system in this model. We find that it is optimal to tax robots while the current generations of routine workers, who can no longer move to non-routine occupations, are active in the labour force. Once these workers retire, optimal robot taxes are zero.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdab019
Volume
89
Issue
1
Pages
279-311
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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