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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 90 No. 6 2023

The Lost Capital Asset Pricing Model

Daniel Andrei1; Julien Cujean2; Mungo Wilson3

1 McGill University · 2 University of Berne · 3 Oxford University

Abstract

We provide a novel explanation for the empirical failure of the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) despite its widespread practical use. In a rational-expectations economy in which information is dispersed, variation in expected returns over time and across investors creates an informational gap between investors and the empiricist. The CAPM holds for investors, but the securities market line appears flat to the empiricist. Variation in expected returns across investors accounts for the larger part of this distortion, which is empirically substantial; it offers a new interpretation of why “betting against beta” (BAB) works: BAB really bets on true beta. The empiricist retrieves a stronger CAPM on days when public information reduces disagreement among investors.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdad013
Volume
90
Issue
6
Pages
2703-2762
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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