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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 69 No. 4 2002

Increasing Competition and the Winner's Curse: Evidence from Procurement

Han Hong1; Matthew Shum2

1 Princeton University · 2 Johns Hopkins University

Abstract

We assess empirically the effects of the winner's curse which, in common-value auctions, counsels more conservative bidding as the number of competitors increases. First, we construct an econometric model of an auction in which bidders' preferences have both common- and private-value components, and propose a new monotone quantile approach which facilitates estimation of this model. Second, we estimate the model using bids from procurement auctions held by the State of New Jersey. For a large subset of these auctions, we find that median procurement costs rise as competition intensifies. In this setting, then, asymmetric information overturns the common economic wisdom that more competition is always desirable.

DOI
10.1111/1467-937x.00229
Volume
69
Issue
4
Pages
871-898
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex openalex crossref

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