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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 92 No. 1 2025

Reservation Raises: The Aggregate Labour Supply Curve at the Extensive Margin

Preston Mui1; Benjamin Schoefer2

1 UC Berkeley, Employ America , · 2 UC Berkeley , Berkeley ,

Abstract

We measure desired labour supply at the extensive (employment) margin in two representative surveys of the U.S. and German populations. We elicit reservation raises: the percent wage change that renders a given individual indifferent between employment and nonemployment. It is equal to her reservation wage divided by her actual, or potential, wage. The reservation raise distribution is the nonparametric aggregate labour supply curve. Locally, the curve exhibits large short-run elasticities above 3, consistent with business cycle evidence. For larger upward shifts, arc elasticities shrink towards 0.5, consistent with quasi-experimental evidence from tax holidays. Existing models fail to match this nonconstant, asymmetric curve.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdae021
Volume
92
Issue
1
Pages
442-475
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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