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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 84 No. 1 2017

Household Debt and the Dynamic Effects of Income Tax Changes

James S Cloyne1; Paolo Surico2

1 Bank of England, CEPR and CFM · 2 London Business School and CEPR

open access

Abstract

Using a new narrative measure of fiscal policy shocks for the U.K., we show that households with mortgage debt exhibit large and significant consumption responses to tax changes. Homeowners without a mortgage, in contrast, do not adjust their expenditure, with responses not statistically different from zero at all horizons. We compare our findings to the predictions of traditional and newer theories of liquidity constraints, providing a novel interpretation for the aggregate effects of tax changes on the macroeconomy.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdw021
Volume
84
Issue
1
Pages
45-81
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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