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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 89 No. 2 2022

Structural Breaks in an Endogenous Growth Model

Timothy Cogley; Boyan Jovanovic

Department of Economics, New York University

Abstract

We study the effects of parameter uncertainty prompted by structural breaks. In our model, agents respond differently to uncertainty prompted by regime shifts in shock processes than they react to comparable perceived increases in shock volatility. The magnitude of the response to an increase in uncertainty about TFP associated with a structural break is greater than that of a response to a comparable perceived rise in volatility. This is because lifetime utility varies more when shocks shift beliefs and perceived wealth.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdab045
Volume
89
Issue
2
Pages
666-694
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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