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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 76 No. 4 2009

Thinking Ahead: The Decision Problem

Patrick Bolton1; Antoine Faure-Grimaud

1 Columbia Business School

open access

Abstract

We propose a model of costly decision making based on time-costs of deliberating current and future decisions. We model an individual decision-maker's thinking process as a thought-experiment that takes time, and lets the decision maker ‘think ahead’ about future decision problems in yet unrealized states of nature. By formulating an intertemporal, state-contingent, planning problem which may involve costly deliberation in every state of nature, and by letting the decision maker deliberate ahead of the realization of a state, we attempt to capture the basic observation that individuals generally do not think through a complete action plan. Instead, individuals prioritize their thinking and leave deliberations on less important decisions to the time or event when they arise.

DOI
10.1111/j.1467-937x.2009.00554.x
Volume
76
Issue
4
Pages
1205-1238
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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