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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 72 No. 4 2005

Poverty and Witch Killing

Edward Miguel

University of California, Berkeley

Abstract

Existing empirical studies are typically unable to sort out the direction of causality between poverty and violent crime in less developed countries. This study uses local rainfall variation – which is plausibly exogenous and closely related to income – to estimate the impact of negative income shocks on murder in 67 Tanzanian villages across eleven years. Extreme rainfall leads to a large statistically significant increase in the murder of “witches ” – typically elderly women killed by relatives – but not in other types of murders. The results are consistent with a model in which households near subsistence kill (or expel) relatively unproductive elderly household members to safeguard the nutritional status of other members. The theory is bolstered by the fact that most killings take place in low socio-economic status villages during the so-called “hungry season ” of the year, and most victims are from poor households. The results provide novel evidence on the role of poverty as a cause of violent crime.

DOI
10.1111/0034-6527.00365
Volume
72
Issue
4
Pages
1153-1172
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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