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Review of Economic Studies Vol. 88 No. 6 2021

Non-parametric Analysis of Time-Inconsistent Preferences

Laura Blow1; Martin Browning2; Ian Crawford3

1 School of Economics, University of Surrey · 2 CEBI, Økonomisk Institut, Københavns Universitet · 3 Department of Economics, Nuffield College and University of Oxford

Abstract

This article provides a revealed preference characterisation of quasi-hyperbolic discounting which is designed to be applied to readily available expenditure surveys. We describe necessary and sufficient conditions for the leading forms of the model and also study the consequences of the restrictions on preferences popularly used in empirical lifecycle consumption models. Using data from a household consumption panel dataset, we explore the prevalence of time-inconsistent behaviour. The quasi-hyperbolic model provides a significantly more successful account of behaviour than the alternatives considered. We estimate the joint distribution of time preferences and the distribution of discount functions at various time horizons.

DOI
10.1093/restud/rdaa089
Volume
88
Issue
6
Pages
2687-2734
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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