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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 105 No. 6 2023

Anatomy of the Beginning of the Housing Boom across U.S. Metropolitan Areas

Fernando Ferreira; Joseph Gyourko

Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania and NBER ,

Abstract

We provide novel estimates of the location, timing, magnitude, and determinants of the start of the previous U.S. housing boom. The housing cycle cannot be interpreted as a single, national event, as different markets began to boom across a decade-long period, some of them multiple times. A fundamental factor, income of prospective buyers, can account for half of the initial jump in price growth, while expansion of purchases by underrepresented minorities cannot. The start of the boom also was financed conventionally, not by subprime mortgages. The latter's share did rise sharply over time, but only after a multiyear lag.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_01133
Volume
105
Issue
6
Pages
1442-1447
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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