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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 107 No. 1 2025

Immigration Lottery Design: Engineered and Coincidental Consequences of H-1B Reforms

Parag A. Pathak1; Alex Rees-Jones2; Tayfun Sönmez3

1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology and NBER. · 2 University of Pennsylvania and NBER · 3 Boston College

open access

Abstract

The H-1B Visa Reform Act of 2004 dictates an annual allocation of 85,000 visas with 20,000 reserved for advanced-degree applicants. We represent the main requirements of this legislation as formal axioms and characterize visa allocation rules consistent with the axioms. Despite the precise number reserved, we show that the range of implementations satisfying these axioms can change the allocation of advanced-degree visas by as much as 14,000 in an average year. Of all rules satisfying these axioms, the 2019 rule imposed by executive order is most favorable to advanced-degree holders. However, two earlier modifications resulted in larger changes, possibly unintentionally.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_01252
Volume
107
Issue
1
Pages
1-13
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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