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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 107 No. 5 2025

Productivity Gains from Trade: Bunching Estimates from Trading Rights in China

Yunong Li1; Yi Lu2; Jianguo Wang3

1 Southwestern University of Finance and Economics · 2 Tsinghua University · 3 Renmin University of China

Abstract

This paper identifies productivity gains from trade by studying the manipulation behavior of firms in response to regulatory policies on international trade in China. Bunching estimates show that participation in international trade increases firm productivity. The productivity gains increase over time, indicating dynamic learning from trading. Further exploration shows no effects on R&D investment, product rationalization, and markup. Young firms and nonstate-owned firms (non-SOEs) gain more from participating in trade. Workers share productivity gains through increased wages but not from increased employment.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_01392
Volume
107
Issue
5
Pages
1275-1290
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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