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The Review of Economics and Statistics Vol. 105 No. 4 2023

Serving the Underserved: Microcredit as a Pathway to Commercial Banks

Sumit Agarwal1; Thomas Kigabo2; Camelia Minoiu3; Andrea Presbitero4; André F. Silva5

1 National University of Singapore · 2 National Bank of Rwanda · 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta · 4 International Monetary Fund & CEPR · 5 Federal Reserve Board

Abstract

A large-scale microcredit expansion program—together with a credit bureau accessible to all lenders—can enable unbanked borrowers to build a credit history, facilitating their transition to commercial banks. Loan-level data from Rwanda show the program improved access to credit and reduced poverty. A sizable share of first-time borrowers switched to commercial banks, which cream-skim less risky borrowers and grant them larger, cheaper, and longer-maturity loans. Switchers have lower default risk than nonswitchers and are not riskier than other bank borrowers. Switchers also obtain better loan terms from banks compared with first-time bank borrowers without a credit history.

DOI
10.1162/rest_a_01117
Volume
105
Issue
4
Pages
780-797
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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