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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 32 No. 5 2019

The Blockchain Folk Theorem

Bruno Biais1; Christophe Bisière2; Matthieu Bouvard3; Catherine Casamatta2

1 Toulouse School of Economics, CNRS, Université Toulouse Capitole, TSM-R and HEC Paris · 2 Toulouse School of Economics, Université Toulouse Capitole, TSM-R · 3 Desautels Faculty of Management, McGill University ,

open access

Abstract

Blockchains are distributed ledgers, operated within peer-to-peer networks. We model the proof-of-work blockchain protocol as a stochastic game and analyze the equilibrium strategies of rational, strategic miners. Mining the longest chain is a Markov perfect equilibrium, without forking, in line with Nakamoto (2008). The blockchain protocol, however, is a coordination game, with multiple equilibria. There exist equilibria with forks, leading to orphaned blocks and persistent divergence between chains. We also show how forks can be generated by information delays and software upgrades. Last we identify negative externalities implying that equilibrium investment in computing capacity is excessive.Received May 31, 2017; editorial decision July 6, 2018 by Editor Itay Goldstein.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhy095
Volume
32
Issue
5
Pages
1662-1715
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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