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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37 No. 3 2024

Scale or Yield? A Present-Value Identity

Thummim Cho1; Lukas Kremens2; Dongryeol Lee3; Christopher Polk4

1 Korea University Business School , Korea · 2 University of Washington , USA · 3 UCLA Anderson , USA · 4 London School of Economics, UK

open access

Abstract

We propose a loglinear present-value identity in which investment (“scale”), profitability (“yield”), and discount rates determine a firm’s market-to-book ratio. Our identity reconciles existing influential market-to-book decompositions and facilitates novel insights from three empirical applications: (1) Both investment and profitability are important contributors to the value spread and stock return news variance. (2) Any cross-sectional return predictability has a mirror image in cash-flow fundamentals, providing asset pricing theories with additional moments to match. (3) The investment spread significantly improves the predictability of time-series variation in the value premium and justifies the poor performance of value in recent years.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhad068
Volume
37
Issue
3
Pages
950-988
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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