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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37 No. 8 2024

Digital Payments and Consumption: Evidence from the 2016 Demonetization in India

Sumit Agarwal1; Pulak Ghosh2; Jing Li3; Tianyue Ruan1

1 National University of Singapore · 2 Indian Institute of Management Bangalore · 3 Singapore Management University

Abstract

We study how consumer spending responds to digital payments, using the differential switch to digital payments across consumers induced by the sudden 2016 Indian Demonetization for identification. Digital payment use rose by 2.94 percentage points and monthly spending increased by 2.38% for an additional 10 percentage points in prior cash dependence. Spending remained elevated even when cash availability recovered. Robustness analyses show that the spending response is not driven by purchase substitution, income shocks, credit supply, or price changes. We provide causal evidence that digital payments increase consumer spending due to subdued endowment effects.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhae005
Volume
37
Issue
8
Pages
2550-2585
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib

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