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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 38 No. 6 2025

Investor Memory

Katrin Gödker1; Peiran Jiao2; Paul Smeets3

1 Bocconi University , Italy, CESifo, and IGIER · 2 Maastricht University · 3 University of Amsterdam

Abstract

We provide experimental evidence of a positive memory bias that affects individuals’ beliefs, decisions to reinvest, and overconfidence in the stock market. Individuals overremember positive investment outcomes of chosen assets and underremember negative ones. Based on their memories, subjects form overly optimistic beliefs about their investment, reinvest too much, and become overconfident about their investment ability relative to others. We further provide evidence on motivation driving the memory bias. This positive memory bias offers a cognitive microfoundation for why gains weight more than losses when people learn from experiences. This helps reconcile various stylized facts in investor beliefs and behavior.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhaf006
Volume
38
Issue
6
Pages
1595-1640
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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