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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 35 No. 2 2022

Credit Supply and Housing Speculation

Atif Mian1; Amir Sufi2

1 Princeton University and NBER · 2 Booth School of Business, University of Chicago and NBER

open access

Abstract

Credit supply expansion boosts housing speculation and amplifies the housing cycle. The surge in private-label mortgage securitization in 2003 fueled a large expansion in mortgage credit supply by lenders financed with noncore deposits. Areas more exposed to these lenders experienced a large relative rise in transaction volume driven by a small group of speculators, and these areas simultaneously witnessed an amplified housing boom and bust. Consistent with the importance of belief heterogeneity, house price growth expectations of marginal buyers rose during the boom, while housing market pessimism among the general population increased.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhab034
Volume
35
Issue
2
Pages
680-719
Language
en
Sources
crossref bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex

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