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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37 No. 10 2024

Tax Policy and Abnormal Investment Behavior

Qiping Xu1; Eric Zwick2

1 University of Illinois Urbana Champaign , United States · 2 Booth School of Business, University of Chicago, United States

Abstract

This paper studies tax-minimizing investment, whereby firms tilt capital purchases toward year-end to reduce taxes. We use this pattern to characterize how taxes affect investment behavior. We exploit variation in firm tax positions from administrative data to confirm that tax minimization causes spikes. Spikes increase when firms face financial constraints or higher option values of waiting. Cumulative investment does not completely reverse after spikes. We develop an investment model with tax asymmetries to rationalize these patterns. Both depreciation motives (later investments face lower effective tax rates) and option value motives (tax asymmetry implies time-varying opportunities to minimize taxes) are necessary to fit the data.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhae040
Volume
37
Issue
10
Pages
2971-3023
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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