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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 32 No. 5 2019

Sex, Drugs, and Bitcoin: How Much Illegal Activity Is Financed through Cryptocurrencies?

Sean Foley1; Jonathan R Karlsen2; Tālis J. Putniņš3

1 University of Sydney · 2 University of Technology Sydney · 3 University of Technology Sydney and Stockholm School of Economics in Riga

open access

Abstract

Cryptocurrencies are among the largest unregulated markets in the world. We find that approximately one-quarter of bitcoin users are involved in illegal activity. We estimate that around $76 billion of illegal activity per year involve bitcoin (46% of bitcoin transactions), which is close to the scale of the U.S. and European markets for illegal drugs. The illegal share of bitcoin activity declines with mainstream interest in bitcoin and with the emergence of more opaque cryptocurrencies. The techniques developed in this paper have applications in cryptocurrency surveillance. Our findings suggest that cryptocurrencies are transforming the black markets by enabling “black e-commerce.” Received June 1, 2017; editorial decision December 8, 2018 by Editor Andrew Karolyi.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhz015
Volume
32
Issue
5
Pages
1798-1853
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib

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