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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 33 No. 5 2020

Dissecting Characteristics Nonparametrically

Joachim Freyberger1; Andreas Neuhierl2; Michael Weber3

1 University of Wisconsin–Madison · 2 Olin Business School · 3 University of Chicago

Abstract

We propose a nonparametric method to study which characteristics provide incremental information for the cross-section of expected returns. We use the adaptive group LASSO to select characteristics and to estimate how selected characteristics affect expected returns nonparametrically. Our method can handle a large number of characteristics and allows for a flexible functional form. Our implementation is insensitive to outliers. Many of the previously identified return predictors don’t provide incremental information for expected returns, and nonlinearities are important. We study our method’s properties in simulations and find large improvements in both model selection and prediction compared to alternative selection methods.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhz123
Volume
33
Issue
5
Pages
2326-2377
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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