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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 34 No. 3 2021

Carbon Tail Risk

Emirhan Ilhan; Zacharias Sautner; Grigory Vilkov

Frankfurt School of Finance & Management

open access

Abstract

Strong regulatory actions are needed to combat climate change, but climate policy uncertainty makes it difficult for investors to quantify the impact of future climate regulation. We show that such uncertainty is priced in the option market. The cost of option protection against downside tail risks is larger for firms with more carbon-intense business models. For carbon-intense firms, the cost of protection against downside tail risk is magnified at times when the public’s attention to climate change spikes, and it decreased after the election of climate change skeptic President Trump.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhaa071
Volume
34
Issue
3
Pages
1540-1571
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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