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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37 No. 3 2024

Local Effects of Global Capital Flows: A China Shock in the U.S. Housing Market

Zhimin Li1; Leslie Sheng Shen2; Calvin Zhang3

1 HSBC Business School, Peking University , China · 2 Federal Reserve Bank of Boston , USA · 3 Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia , USA

Abstract

This paper studies the real effects of foreign real estate capital inflows. Using transaction-level data, we document (i) a “China shock” in the U.S. housing market characterized by surging foreign Chinese housing purchases after 2008, and (ii) “home bias” in these purchases, as they concentrate in neighborhoods historically populated by ethnic Chinese. Exploiting their temporal and spatial variation, we find that these capital inflows raise local employment, with the effect transmitted through a housing net worth channel. However, they displace local lower-income residents. Our results show that real estate capital inflows can both stimulate the real economy and induce gentrification.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhad067
Volume
37
Issue
3
Pages
761-801
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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