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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 27 No. 10 2014

Does the Tail Wag the Dog?: The Effect of Credit Default Swaps on Credit Risk

Marti G. Subrahmanyam1; Dragon Yongjun Tang2; Sarah Qian Wang3

1 New York University · 2 University of Hong Kong · 3 University of Warwick

open access

Abstract

We use credit default swaps (CDS) trading data to demonstrate that the credit risk of reference firms, reflected in rating downgrades and bankruptcies, increases significantly upon the inception of CDS trading, a finding that is robust after controlling for the endogeneity of CDS trading. Additionally, distressed firms are more likely to file for bankruptcy if they are linked to CDS trading. Furthermore, firms with more “no restructuring” contracts than other types of CDS contracts (i.e., contracts that include restructuring) are more adversely affected by CDS trading, and the number of creditors increases after CDS trading begins, exacerbating creditor coordination failure in the resolution of financial distress.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhu038
Volume
27
Issue
10
Pages
2927-2960
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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