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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 15 No. 1 2002

Testing Trade-Off and Pecking Order Predictions about Dividends and Debt

Eugene F. Fama; Kenneth R. French

Abstract

Confirming predictions shared by the trade-off and pecking order models, more profitable firms and firms with fewer investments have higher dividend payouts. Confirming the pecking order model but contradicting the trade-off model, more profitable firms are less levered. Firms with more investments have less market leverage, which is consistent with the trade-off model and a complex pecking order model. Firms with more investments have lower long-term dividend payouts, but dividends do not vary to accommodate short-term variation in investment. As the pecking order model predicts, short-term variation in investment and earnings is mostly absorbed by debt.

Volume
15
Issue
1
Pages
1-33
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib

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