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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 35 No. 7 2022

Crowded Trades and Tail Risk

Gregory W. Brown1; Philip Howard2; Christian Lundblad1

1 Kenan-Flagler Business School, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill · 2 Wake Forest University’s School of Business

Abstract

Hedge fund positions are an important component of crowded trades. These vehicles are particularly active, take highly concentrated positions, and utilize leverage and short sales. Using a database of hedge fund holdings, we measure the degree of security-level crowdedness. The difference between the average returns on portfolios sorted by high versus low crowdedness portfolios is sizable, and the variation in the realized portfolio returns is distinct from other traditional risk factors. Further, hedge fund exposures to crowdedness are often significant, and they help to explain downside “tail risk,” as funds with higher exposures experience relatively larger drawdowns during periods of industry distress.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhab107
Volume
35
Issue
7
Pages
3231-3271
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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