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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37 No. 8 2024

The Labor Market Effects of Loan Guarantee Programs

Jean-Noël Barrot1; Thorsten Martin2; Julien Sauvagnat3; Boris Vallée4

1 HEC Paris , France · 2 Bocconi University, Italy and Frankfurt School of Finance & Management , Germany · 3 Bocconi University , Italy · 4 Harvard Business School, USA

Abstract

We investigate the labor market effects of a loan guarantee program targeting French SMEs during the financial crisis. Exploiting differences in regional treatment intensity in a border discontinuity design, we uncover a central trade-off for such interventions. While the program has a positive impact on workers’ employment and earnings trajectories that translates into positive aggregate employment effects, it dampens the worker reallocation toward more productive firms that happens following recessions, and particularly so for high-skill workers. This labor allocation effect is economically significant and translates into a reduction in aggregate productivity.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhae014
Volume
37
Issue
8
Pages
2315-2354
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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