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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 30 No. 2 2017

What Is the Consumption-CAPM Missing? An Information-Theoretic Framework for the Analysis of Asset Pricing Models

Anisha Ghosh1; Christian Julliard2; Alex P. Taylor3

1 Carnegie Mellon University · 2 London School of Economics and Political Science · 3 Digital Research Alliance of Canada

open access

Abstract

We consider asset pricing models in which the SDF can be factorized into an observable component and a potentially unobservable one. Using a relative entropy minimization approach, we nonparametrically estimate the SDF and its components. Empirically, we find the SDF has a business-cycle pattern and significant correlations with market crashes and the Fama-French factors. Moreover, we derive novel bounds for the SDF that are tighter and have higher information content than existing ones. We show that commonly used consumption-based SDFs correlate poorly with the estimated one, require high risk aversion to satisfy the bounds and understate market crash risk. (

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhw075
Volume
30
Issue
2
Pages
442-504
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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