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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 33 No. 9 2020

Asset Price Bubbles and Systemic Risk

Markus Brunnermeier1; Simon Rother2; Isabel Schnabel3

1 Princeton University, NBER, CESifo, and CEPR · 2 University of Bonn · 3 University of Bonn, MPI Bonn, CESifo, and CEPR

Abstract

We analyze the relationship between asset price bubbles and systemic risk, using bank-level data covering almost 30 years. Banks’ systemic risk already rises during a bubble’s buildup and even more so during its bust. The increase in risk strongly differs across banks and by bubble. It depends on bank characteristics (especially bank size) and bubble characteristics and can become very large: in a median real estate bust, systemic risk increases by almost 70% of the median for banks with unfavorable characteristics. These results emphasize the importance of bank-level factors in the buildup of financial fragility during bubble episodes.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhaa011
Volume
33
Issue
9
Pages
4272-4317
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib openalex crossref

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