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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 33 No. 5 2020

Anomalies and False Rejections

Tarun Chordia1; Amit Goyal2; Alessio Saretto3

1 Goizueta Business School, Emory University · 2 Swiss Finance Institute, University of Lausanne · 3 Jindal School of Management University of Texas at Dallas

open access

Abstract

We use information from over 2 million trading strategies randomly generated using real data and from strategies that survive the publication process to infer the statistical properties of the set of strategies that could have been studied by researchers. Using this set, we compute t-statistic thresholds that control for multiple hypothesis testing, when searching for anomalies, at 3.8 and 3.4 for time-series and cross-sectional regressions, respectively. We estimate the expected proportion of false rejections that researchers would produce if they failed to account for multiple hypothesis testing to be about 45%.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhaa018
Volume
33
Issue
5
Pages
2134-2179
Language
en
Sources
bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref openalex

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