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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 37 No. 6 2024

Climate Change and Adaptation in Global Supply-Chain Networks

Nora Pankratz1; Christoph Schiller2

1 Federal Reserve Board, USA · 2 W. P. Carey School of Business, Arizona State University , USA

open access

Abstract

This paper examines how physical climate exposure affects firm performance and global supply chains. We document that heat at supplier locations reduces the operating income of suppliers and their customers. Further, customers respond to perceived changes in suppliers’ exposure: when suppliers’ realized exposure exceeds ex ante expectations, customers are 7% more likely to terminate supplier relationships. Consistent with experience-based learning, this effect increases with signal strength and repetition and decreases with country-level climate adaptation. Subsequent replacement suppliers show a lower expected and realized but similar projected heat exposure. We find similar results for suppliers’ exposure to floods.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhad093
Volume
37
Issue
6
Pages
1729-1777
Language
en
Sources
openalex bibtex:phds-export.bib crossref

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