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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 35 No. 3 2000

Morningstar Ratings and Mutual Fund Performance

Christopher R. Blake; Matthew R. Morey

Abstract

This study examines the Morningstar rating system as a predictor of mutual fund performance for U.S. domestic equit funds. We also compare the predictive abilities of the Morningstar rating system with those of alternative predictors. The results indicate findings that are robust across different samples, ages and styles of funds, and performance measures. First, low ratings from Morningstar generally indicate relatively poor future performance. Second, there is little statistical evidence that Morningstar's highest-rated funds outperform the next-to-highest and median-rated funds. Third, Morningstar ratings, at best, do only slightly better than the alternative predictors in forecasting future fund performance.

DOI
10.2307/2676213
Volume
35
Issue
3
Pages
451
Sources
openalex crossref

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