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Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis Vol. 23 No. 1 1988

Long-Term Behavior of Yield Curves

Andrew F. Siegel; Charles R. Nelson

Abstract

The flattening of yield curves at long-term maturities is proven to be approximately proportional to the reciprocal of the time to maturity under general conditions. This is a consequence of the persistence of earlier forward rates in the averaging process, which produces yields from forward rates. This relationship suggests the use of a “reciprocal maturity yield curve, ” which significantly facilitates the interpretation of the behavior of long-term yields by linearizing them for display over a shorter interval. This is illustrated using a yield curve for U.S. Treasury bills.

DOI
10.2307/2331027
Volume
23
Issue
1
Pages
105
Sources
openalex crossref

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