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Journal of Finance Vol. 38 No. 5 1983

Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run

Michael Adler; BRUCE LEHMANN1

1 Ford Motor Company (United States)

Abstract

This paper demonstrates that deviations from purchasing power parity reveal a remarkable and possibly startling consistency with martingale behavior during both fixed and flexible rate periods, for a wide variety of countries, and in both monthly and annual data. Since this pattern appears to be much more general than one would expect on the basis of models founded on international commodity arbitrage, the paper proposes an alternative explanation which instead relies on financial arbitrage in bonds as the underlying mechanism.

DOI
10.1111/j.1540-6261.1983.tb03835.x
Volume
38
Issue
5
Pages
1471-1487
Language
en
Sources
crossref openalex

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