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Consumer Choice and Corporate Bankruptcy

Samuel Antill1; Megan Hunter

1 Dana-Farber/Harvard Cancer Center

Journal of Finance 2026

ABSTRACT We estimate the indirect costs of corporate bankruptcy associated with lost customers. In incentivized experiments, randomly informing consumers about a firm's Chapter 11 reorganization lowers their willingness to pay for the firm's products by 17% to 28%. Consumers worry that bankruptcy could reduce product quality or prevent future interactions with the bankrupt firm. On average, 38% of consumers are aware of major bankruptcies. Using our experiments to estimate a structural model, we show that these indirect costs of bankruptcy amount to 12% to 15% of a firm's value. We show that these costs are unlikely to arise before bankruptcy.

DOI
10.1111/jofi.70030
Volume
81 (3)
Pages
1485-1529
Language
en
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