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Review of Financial Studies 2015

Policy Uncertainty and Corporate Investment

Huseyin Gulen1; Mihai Ion2

1 Purdue University West Lafayette · 2 University of Arizona

open access

Abstract

Using a news-based index of policy uncertainty, we document a strong negative relationship between firm-level capital investment and the aggregate level of uncertainty associated with future policy and regulatory outcomes. More importantly, we find evidence that the relation between policy uncertainty and capital investment is not uniform in the cross-section, being significantly stronger for firms with a higher degree of investment irreversibility and for firms that are more dependent on government spending. Our results lend empirical support to the notion that policy uncertainty can depress corporate investment by inducing precautionary delays due to investment irreversibility.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhv050
Pages
hhv050
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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