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Data-Snooping Biases in Tests of Financial Asset Pricing Models

Andrew W. Lo1; A. Craig MacKinlay2

1 Massachusetts Institute of Technology · 2 University of Pennsylvania

Review of Financial Studies 1990

Tests of financial asset pricing models may yield misleading inferences when properties of the data are used to construct the test statistics. In particular, such tests are often based on returns to portfolios of common stock, where portfolios are constructed by sorting on some empirically motivated characteristic of the securities such as market value of equity. Analytical calculations, Monte Carlo simulations, and two empirical examples show that the effects of this type of data snooping can be substantial.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/3.3.431
Volume
3 (3)
Pages
431-467
Language
en
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