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Extreme Value Dependence in Financial Markets: Diagnostics, Models, and Financial Implications

Ser-Huang Poon1; Michael Rockinger2; Jonathan A. Tawn3

1 University of Manchester · 2 University of Lausanne · 3 Lancaster University

Review of Financial Studies 2004

This article presents a general framework for identifying and modeling the joint-tail distribution based on multivariate extreme value theories. We argue that the multivariate approach is the most efficient and effective way to study extreme events such as systemic risk and crisis. We show, using returns on five major stock indices, that the use of traditional dependence measures could lead to inaccurate portfolio risk assessment. We explain how the framework proposed here could be exploited in a number of finance applications such as portfolio selection, risk management, Sharpe ratio targeting, hedging, option valuation, and credit risk analysis.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhg058
Volume
17 (2)
Pages
581-610
Language
en
Export
BibTeX
Sources
crossref openalex