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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 23 No. 8 2010

Do Market Efficiency Measures Yield Correct Inferences? A Comparison of Developed and Emerging Markets

John M. Griffin1; Patrick J. Kelly2; Federico Nardari3

1 The University of Texas at Austin · 2 University of South Florida · 3 University of Houston

Abstract

Using data from 56 markets, we find that short-term reversal, post-earnings drift, and momentum strategies earn similar returns in emerging and developed markets. Variance ratios and market delay measures often show greater deviations from random walk pricing in developed markets. Conceptually, we show that commonly used efficiency tests can yield misleading inferences because they do not control for the information environment. Our evidence corrects misperceptions that emerging markets feature larger trading profits and higher return autocorrelation, highlights crucial limitations of weak and semi-strong form efficiency measures, and points to the importance of measuring informational aspects of efficiency.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhq044
Volume
23
Issue
8
Pages
3225-3277
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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