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Why Do Security Prices Change? A Transaction-Level Analysis of NYSE Stocks

Ananth Madhavan1,2,3; Matthew Richardson4,5; Mark Roomans4

1 University of Southern California · 2 California Southern University · 3 BlackRock (United States) · 4 Morgan Stanley (United States) · 5 New York University

Review of Financial Studies 1997 open access

This article develops and tests a structural model of intraday price formation that embodies public information shocks and microstructure effects. We use the model to analyze intraday patterns in bid-ask spreads, price volatility, transaction costs, and return and quote auto-correlations, and to construct metrics for price discovery and effective trading costs. Information asymmetry and uncertainty over fundamentals decrease over the day, although transaction costs increase. The results help explain the U-shaped pattern in intraday bid-ask spreads and volatility, and are also consistent with the intra-day decline in the variance of ask price changes.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/10.4.1035
Volume
10 (4)
Pages
1035-1064
Language
en
Export
BibTeX
Sources
crossref openalex