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Asset Prices and Exchange Rates

Anna Pavlova1; Roberto Rigobon

1 London Business School

Review of Financial Studies 2007

We study the implications of introducing demand shocks and trade in goods into an otherwise standard international asset pricing model. Trade in goods gives rise to an additional channel of international propagation—through the terms of trade—absent in traditional single-good models. The inclusion of demand shocks helps overturn many unrealistic implications of existing international finance models in which productivity shocks are the sole source of uncertainty. Our model generates a rich set of implications on how stock, bond, and foreign exchange markets co-move. We solve the model in closed-form, which yields a system of equations that can be readily estimated empirically. Our estimation validates the main predictions of the theory.

DOI
10.1093/revfin/hhm008
Volume
20 (4)
Pages
1139-1180
Language
en
Export
BibTeX
Sources
crossref openalex