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Average Idiosyncratic Volatility in G7 Countries

Hui Guo1; Robert Savickas2

1 University of Cincinnati · 2 George Washington University

Review of Financial Studies 2008

We argue that changes in average idiosyncratic volatility provide a proxy for changes in the investment opportunity set and that this proxy is closely related to the book-to-market factor. We test this idea in two ways using G7 countries' data. First, we show that idiosyncratic volatility has statistically significant predictive power for aggregate stock market returns over time. Second, we show that idiosyncratic volatility performs just as well as the book-to-market factor in explaining the cross section of stock returns. Our results suggest that the hedge against changes in investment opportunities is an important determinant of asset prices. The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected], Oxford University Press.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhn043
Volume
21 (3)
Pages
1259-1296
Language
en
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