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Expected returns, yield spreads, and asset pricing tests

Murillo Campello1; Long Chen2; Lu Zhang3

1 University of Illinois and NBER · 2 Michigan State University · 3 University of Michigan–Ann Arbor

Review of Financial Studies 2008

We construct firm-specific measures of expected equity returns using corporate bond yields, and replace standard ex post average returns with our expected-return measures in asset pricing tests. We find that the market beta is significantly priced in the cross section of expected returns. The expected size and value premiums are positive and countercyclical, but there is no evidence of positive expected momentum profits. The Author 2008. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For permissions, please e-mail: [email protected]., Oxford University Press.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhn011
Volume
21 (3)
Pages
1297-1338
Language
en
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