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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 10 No. 4 1997

Boom and Bust Patterns in the Adoption of Financial Innovations

John C. Persons1; Vincent A. Warther2,3

1 Ross School · 2 University of Michigan–Ann Arbor · 3 The Ohio State University

Abstract

We develop a dynamic model of the adoption of financial innovations. Each period, firms decide whether or not to adopt an innovation of uncertain value, and the profitability of each period’s adoptions reveals information about the innovation’s value. We show that characteristics of financial innovation waves cited by critics as evidence of irrational excess are, in fact, consistent with fully rational behavior. We also show that social welfare is enhanced when more firms adopt innovations of questionable value and that financial intermediaries have an incentive to encourage such adoption.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/10.4.939
Volume
10
Issue
4
Pages
939-967
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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