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The Effects of Price Risk on Housing Demand: Empirical Evidence from U.S. Markets

Lu Han

University of Toronto

Review of Financial Studies 2010 open access

This article examines how price risk affects housing demand. It identifies two relevant channels: a financial risk effect that reduces demand, and a hedging effect that increases demand since current homes may hedge future housing costs. The latter dominates when hedging incentives are strong, namely when the likelihood of moving up the housing ladder is high and the tendency to move across markets is low. For households with weak hedging incentives, the article finds negative effects of price risk on the timing and size of home purchases, but positive effects for households with strong hedging incentives. The Author 2010. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected]., Oxford University Press.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhq088
Volume
23 (11)
Pages
3889-3928
Language
en
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