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Fiscal Policy and Asset Prices with Incomplete Markets

Francisco Gomes1; Alexander Michaelides2; Valery Polkovnichenko3

1 Center for Economic and Policy Research · 2 University of Cyprus · 3 Federal Reserve

Review of Financial Studies 2013

We study the simultaneous impact of fiscal policy decisions on macroeconomic activity, wealth distribution, and asset prices. We consider a general equilibrium, overlapping generations model with incomplete markets and heterogeneous agents, where government debt and capital are imperfect substitutes. Increases in public debt lead to significant increases in the riskless rate and to a reduction in the equity premium, while higher capital income tax rates lead to a higher equity premium. The crowding-out effects (on capital and output) are much higher than in models where government debt and capital are perfect substitutes, which thus ignore households' portfolio reallocation decisions. The Author 2012. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of The Society for Financial Studies. All rights reserved. For Permissions, please e-mail: [email protected]., Oxford University Press.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhs110
Volume
26 (2)
Pages
531-566
Language
en
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