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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 28 No. 9 2015

Financing Constraints and the Amplification of Aggregate Downturns

Daniel Carvalho

University of Southern California

open access

Abstract

This paper shows that during industry downturns, firms experience significantly greater valuation losses when their industry peers' long-term debt is maturing at the time of the shocks. Across a range of tests, the analysis addresses the endogenous determination of peer debt-maturity structure. Overall, the evidence suggests that the negative externalities financially constrained firms impose on their industry peers can significantly amplify the effects of industry downturns. The evidence also provides support for the view that these amplification effects are driven by the adverse effect that financially constrained firms have on the balance sheets of their industry peers.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhv021
Volume
28
Issue
9
Pages
2463-2501
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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