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Review of Financial Studies Vol. 39 No. 5 2026

Monetary Policy through Production Networks: Evidence from the Stock Market

Ali K. Ozdagli1; Michael Weber2

1 Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas · 2 Daniels School of Business, Purdue University , and NBER

Abstract

We study the importance of production networks for the transmission of monetary policy using the stock market reaction as laboratory. We attribute 55% to 85% of the overall response to network effects. Large network effects are a robust feature of the data; we document similar patterns in realized fundamentals. Matching sparsity and the first two outdegrees industry-by-industry can explain large network effects. A simple model with intermediate inputs predicts the reaction of stock returns follows a spatial autoregression, which we exploit for our empirical strategy. Our results suggest production networks are an important mechanism for transmitting monetary policy shocks.

DOI
10.1093/rfs/hhaf106
Volume
39
Issue
5
Pages
1411-1462
Language
en
Sources
openalex crossref

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